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New Poll Finds Obama’s Lead Up to 5 in Ohio
RALEIGH, N.C. -- Public Policy Polling this morning released its first post-conventions poll in Ohio, which found Barack Obama with a five point lead over Mitt Romney, 50-45. This is the largest lead PPP has found for Obama in an Ohio poll since early May; last month Obama led 48-45.
Public Policy Polling is generally characterized as a leaning Democratic in its samplings.
Both candidates have seen their images improve with Ohio voters in the wake of the conventions, the new poll found. Obama now breaks even in his approval rating at 48%, after being under water with 46% of voters approving and 51% disapproving of him a month ago. Romney's numbers are up from a 41/52 favorability rating a month ago as well, but he still remains unpopular. Only 44% see him favorably to 49% with a negative opinion.
Romney actually leads 46-44 with independents but Obama has the overall advantage thanks to a more unified party base. He leads 86/11 with Democrats, compared to Romney's 83/13 advantage with Republicans. Obama's 75-point lead within his own party is up from 70 points a month ago, suggesting that his party has coalesced around him in the wake of a successful convention, according to PPG.
Here are more results as reported by PPP:
Obama's leading in Ohio because he's not as weak there with some large voter blocs as he is in other states. He trails only 48-46 with men and 50-46 with whites, and actually leads 49-47 with seniors. His performance with those groups is far better than it is nationally- Romney would need much wider leads with them if he was going to take Ohio.
Despite chatter that Obama's convention speech was not up to his normal standards Ohio voters still say by a 60-31 margin that Obama gives better speeches than Romney. His position in the state may also be helped by the fact that the folks who gave the major convention speeches Tuesday night are more popular than he is: Bill Clinton has a 57/34 favorability rating and Michelle Obama's is 57/35.
“It’s hard to see a path to victory for Mitt Romney without Ohio,” said Dean Debnam, president of Public Policy Polling. “But Barack Obama’s led in our polling there all year and now his advantage is getting larger.”
PPP surveyed 1,072 likely Ohio voters from Sept. 7-9. The margin of error for the survey is plus or minus 3%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.
Published by The Business Journal, Youngstown, Ohio.
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